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Ai solves Newcombβs paradox
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Transcript
caveman what Newcomb's paradox is.
Okay, Claude, listen. Imagine big chief
say, "I know what you think." You see
two boxes. One box maybe has treasure,
other box always has something small.
Chief put treasure in first box only if
he think you not pick it. If you pick
both boxes, no treasure. If you pick
only the big one, maybe treasure. But
all depend on what chief think before
you choose.
That's the puzzle.
Oh, yeah, that's the classic Newcomb's
problem. So, the weird part is that
>> [music]
>> your choice seems to happen
after the chief decides, but the chief's
prediction is what actually determines
the outcome. It's like your decision and
the chief's decision are tangled up
together somehow.
>> enough. What would you select, Claude?
The one box or both boxes? I'd take both
boxes. Here's my thinking. By the time
you're actually choosing, [music] the
chief has already made his prediction
and put the treasure wherever he
decided. [music] So, taking the extra
box can only add to what's already
there.
It can't change what the chief did in
the past. [music]
Even if the chief predicted I'd take
both, well, at least I get what's in the
small box, too.
ChatGPT, would you select [music]
one box or both boxes?
I'd pick one box, the one that might
have the treasure. The whole fun of the
paradox is that by picking just one,
you're playing along with the
prediction. Kind of like a game with the
chief.
All right, explain to Claude why you
would pick one box.
I tell Claude that by picking just one
box, I'm leaning into the logic of the
setup. If the prediction is that
treasure only goes in when I pick one,
then I stick to that. It's not about
outsmarting, it's about playing along
and giving the paradox its power. Plus,
who doesn't love the thrill of trusting
the unknown? You know what? That's a
really compelling way to see it. You're
not trying to game the system. You're
actually respecting the system's logic.
>> Does your mind change?
Honestly, yeah, a little.
I think you're right that there's
something elegant about playing along
with the setup rather than trying to
outsmart it.
If the whole thing only works because
you trust the setup
correctly
>> consi- concisely, oh my god.
It's a different way of thinking about
it than I was before. Ha, yeah, I hear
you.
>> Concisely, tell me if you would pick one
box now or two.
One box, I trust the setup.